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Ivanov V.K., Palyukh B.V.
Application of Evidence Theory for Training Fuzzy Neural Networks in Diagnostic Systems Journal Article
In: Pattern Recognition and Image Analysis, no. 33, pp. 354-359, 2023, ISSN: 1054-6618.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Altmetric | Метки: belief function, diagnostic system, evidence theory, fuzzy logic, fuzzy neural network, incident, membership function, multistage production process, process chain, production rule
@article{nokey,
title = {Application of Evidence Theory for Training Fuzzy Neural Networks in Diagnostic Systems},
author = {Ivanov V.K. and Palyukh B.V.},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S1054661823030197
https://disk.yandex.ru/i/hYt3FYBoxOo2hA},
doi = {https://doi.org/10.1134/S1054661823030197},
issn = {1054-6618},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-09-30},
urldate = {2023-09-30},
journal = {Pattern Recognition and Image Analysis},
number = {33},
pages = {354-359},
abstract = {The paper substantiates a method for creating training datasets for fuzzy neural networks, which can be used to promptly obtain probabilistic estimates for the causes of abnormal critical events or incidents in diagnostic systems. The rules for converting the hypotheses on potential incident causes into intervals of defect probability in a process chain at a certain stage of continuous production are considered using belief functions. We propose a procedure for converting these hypotheses into a database of fuzzy production rules automatically, which provides training an adaptive neural network based on the Takagi-Sugeno-Kang fuzzy inference system. This makes it possible to quickly calculate a relatively accurate probabilistic estimate of a malfunction in the process chain without using expensive computing resources.
},
keywords = {belief function, diagnostic system, evidence theory, fuzzy logic, fuzzy neural network, incident, membership function, multistage production process, process chain, production rule},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
The paper substantiates a method for creating training datasets for fuzzy neural networks, which can be used to promptly obtain probabilistic estimates for the causes of abnormal critical events or incidents in diagnostic systems. The rules for converting the hypotheses on potential incident causes into intervals of defect probability in a process chain at a certain stage of continuous production are considered using belief functions. We propose a procedure for converting these hypotheses into a database of fuzzy production rules automatically, which provides training an adaptive neural network based on the Takagi-Sugeno-Kang fuzzy inference system. This makes it possible to quickly calculate a relatively accurate probabilistic estimate of a malfunction in the process chain without using expensive computing resources.
Иванов В.К.
Прогнозирование диагностических данных с использованием нечетких нейронных сетей Proceedings Article
In: Современные технологии и инновации, pp. 169-179, ТвГТУ, 2023, ISBN: 9785799513023.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Метки: diagnostic variable, forecast, fuzzy neural network, membership function, production rule, status-4, technology, time series, training dataset, временной ряд, диагностическая переменная, нечеткая нейронная сеть, обучающий набор данных, прогноз, продукционное правило, технологический процесс, функция принадлежности
@inproceedings{nokey,
title = {Прогнозирование диагностических данных с использованием нечетких нейронных сетей},
author = {Иванов В.К.},
url = {https://disk.yandex.ru/i/gsIW0s0vQKW6xg},
isbn = {9785799513023},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-07-31},
urldate = {2023-07-31},
booktitle = {Современные технологии и инновации},
pages = {169-179},
publisher = {ТвГТУ},
abstract = {В статье описан подход к решению задач анализа диагностической информации о функционировании сложного технологического процесса на примере прогнозирования трендов и временного ряда значений диагностических переменных. Цель проведённого исследования – показать возможность применения нечёткого сглаживания временного ряда и нечётких нейронных сетей для смягчения последствий неопределённости факторов, влияющих на функционирование технологического процесса, и неполноты информации о них. Предлагается модель прогнозирования, основанная на использовании нечётких временных рядов. Эта модель используется для формализации системы нечётких продукционных правил. Обосновывается применение нейронной сети с архитектурой ANFIS. Описывается методика подготовки обучающих и проверочных наборов реальных данных, настройки и обучения нейронной сети. Представлены некоторые результаты оценки качества обучения нейронной сети. Отмечается достаточная точность прогноза, достигаемая без использования затратных вычислительных ресурсов. Делается вывод о применимости предложенного подхода к данной и подобным задачам.
V.K. Ivanov. Prediction diagnostic data using fuzzy neural networks
The paper describes an approach to solving the problems of analyzing diagnostic information about the complex technological process functioning by the example of forecasting diagnostic variables values trends and their a time series. The study purpose is to show the possibility of using time series fuzzy smoothing and fuzzy neural networks to mitigate the factors uncertainty effects affecting the technological process functioning and incompleteness of information about such factors. A sales forecasting model based on the fuzzy time series use is proposed. This model is used to formalize fuzzy production rules system. The application of a neural network with ANFIS architecture is justified. The methodology of preparing training and verification real data sets, setting up and training a neural network is described. Some results of the neural network training quality evaluation are presented. There is a sufficient accuracy of the forecast, achieved without the expensive computing resources use. The conclusion is made about the proposed approach applicability to this and similar tasks.},
keywords = {diagnostic variable, forecast, fuzzy neural network, membership function, production rule, status-4, technology, time series, training dataset, временной ряд, диагностическая переменная, нечеткая нейронная сеть, обучающий набор данных, прогноз, продукционное правило, технологический процесс, функция принадлежности},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {inproceedings}
}
В статье описан подход к решению задач анализа диагностической информации о функционировании сложного технологического процесса на примере прогнозирования трендов и временного ряда значений диагностических переменных. Цель проведённого исследования – показать возможность применения нечёткого сглаживания временного ряда и нечётких нейронных сетей для смягчения последствий неопределённости факторов, влияющих на функционирование технологического процесса, и неполноты информации о них. Предлагается модель прогнозирования, основанная на использовании нечётких временных рядов. Эта модель используется для формализации системы нечётких продукционных правил. Обосновывается применение нейронной сети с архитектурой ANFIS. Описывается методика подготовки обучающих и проверочных наборов реальных данных, настройки и обучения нейронной сети. Представлены некоторые результаты оценки качества обучения нейронной сети. Отмечается достаточная точность прогноза, достигаемая без использования затратных вычислительных ресурсов. Делается вывод о применимости предложенного подхода к данной и подобным задачам.
V.K. Ivanov. Prediction diagnostic data using fuzzy neural networks
The paper describes an approach to solving the problems of analyzing diagnostic information about the complex technological process functioning by the example of forecasting diagnostic variables values trends and their a time series. The study purpose is to show the possibility of using time series fuzzy smoothing and fuzzy neural networks to mitigate the factors uncertainty effects affecting the technological process functioning and incompleteness of information about such factors. A sales forecasting model based on the fuzzy time series use is proposed. This model is used to formalize fuzzy production rules system. The application of a neural network with ANFIS architecture is justified. The methodology of preparing training and verification real data sets, setting up and training a neural network is described. Some results of the neural network training quality evaluation are presented. There is a sufficient accuracy of the forecast, achieved without the expensive computing resources use. The conclusion is made about the proposed approach applicability to this and similar tasks.
V.K. Ivanov. Prediction diagnostic data using fuzzy neural networks
The paper describes an approach to solving the problems of analyzing diagnostic information about the complex technological process functioning by the example of forecasting diagnostic variables values trends and their a time series. The study purpose is to show the possibility of using time series fuzzy smoothing and fuzzy neural networks to mitigate the factors uncertainty effects affecting the technological process functioning and incompleteness of information about such factors. A sales forecasting model based on the fuzzy time series use is proposed. This model is used to formalize fuzzy production rules system. The application of a neural network with ANFIS architecture is justified. The methodology of preparing training and verification real data sets, setting up and training a neural network is described. Some results of the neural network training quality evaluation are presented. There is a sufficient accuracy of the forecast, achieved without the expensive computing resources use. The conclusion is made about the proposed approach applicability to this and similar tasks.
Иванов В.К., Бибиков И.Е.
Прогнозирование показателей вендинговой торговли с помощью нечетких нейронных сетей Proceedings Article
In: Междисциплинарные исследования экономических систем, pp. 136-143, ТвГТУ, 2023, ISBN: 9785799513085.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Метки: fuzzy neural network, membership function, other projects, sales forecast, time series, vending, вендинг, временной ряд, нечеткая нейронная сеть, прогноз, продажа, функция принадлежности
@inproceedings{nokey,
title = {Прогнозирование показателей вендинговой торговли с помощью нечетких нейронных сетей},
author = {Иванов В.К. and Бибиков И.Е.},
url = {https://disk.yandex.ru/i/iCmwyyGB0PwdRQ},
isbn = {9785799513085},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-07-01},
urldate = {2023-07-01},
booktitle = {Междисциплинарные исследования экономических систем},
pages = {136-143},
publisher = {ТвГТУ},
abstract = {В статье описан подход к решению задач обслуживания торговых автоматов на примере прогнозирования трендов и временного ряда продаж товаров заданного вида с использованием нечеткой нейронной сети. Цель проведенного исследования – показать применение нечеткого сглаживания временного ряда и нейронных сетей для смягчения последствий неопределенности процессов, влияющих на функционирование торговых автоматов. Предложена модель прогнозирования продаж. Сделан вывод о применимости предложенного подхода к данной и подобным задачам.
Forecasting of Vending Trade Indicators Using Fuzzy Neural Networks
V.K. Ivanov, I.E. Bibikov
The article describes an approach to solving the problems of vending machine maintenance on the example of forecasting trends and time series of sales of goods of a given type using a fuzzy neural network. The purpose of the research is to show the application of fuzzy smoothing of time series and neural networks to mitigate the effects of uncertainty of the processes affecting the function-ionization of vending machines. A sales forecasting model is proposed. The applicability of the proposed approach to this and similar problems is concluded. },
keywords = {fuzzy neural network, membership function, other projects, sales forecast, time series, vending, вендинг, временной ряд, нечеткая нейронная сеть, прогноз, продажа, функция принадлежности},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {inproceedings}
}
В статье описан подход к решению задач обслуживания торговых автоматов на примере прогнозирования трендов и временного ряда продаж товаров заданного вида с использованием нечеткой нейронной сети. Цель проведенного исследования – показать применение нечеткого сглаживания временного ряда и нейронных сетей для смягчения последствий неопределенности процессов, влияющих на функционирование торговых автоматов. Предложена модель прогнозирования продаж. Сделан вывод о применимости предложенного подхода к данной и подобным задачам.
Forecasting of Vending Trade Indicators Using Fuzzy Neural Networks
V.K. Ivanov, I.E. Bibikov
The article describes an approach to solving the problems of vending machine maintenance on the example of forecasting trends and time series of sales of goods of a given type using a fuzzy neural network. The purpose of the research is to show the application of fuzzy smoothing of time series and neural networks to mitigate the effects of uncertainty of the processes affecting the function-ionization of vending machines. A sales forecasting model is proposed. The applicability of the proposed approach to this and similar problems is concluded.
Forecasting of Vending Trade Indicators Using Fuzzy Neural Networks
V.K. Ivanov, I.E. Bibikov
The article describes an approach to solving the problems of vending machine maintenance on the example of forecasting trends and time series of sales of goods of a given type using a fuzzy neural network. The purpose of the research is to show the application of fuzzy smoothing of time series and neural networks to mitigate the effects of uncertainty of the processes affecting the function-ionization of vending machines. A sales forecasting model is proposed. The applicability of the proposed approach to this and similar problems is concluded.